If the US military splits into 10 private armies, will those armies be able to compete with China?

I would say it is a lie. But then why are they sent? Is it PR for ICE or something more sinister?

Für die beste Einschätzung stimmt das. Es gibt aber für den normalen Bürger nicht mal eine grobe Näherung.

Ungenauigkeit bleibt. Vor dem Krieg konnte z.B. niemand vorhersagen, dass Russland einfache Bomben in Glidebombs umbauen konnte. Die Logistik, um das Vorrücken der russischen Artillerie zu stoppen wird die Ukraine aber kalkuliert haben und gesehen haben, dass es machbar ist.

Das Militär hat diverse Analyseverfahren. Diese Verfahren könnte man mit öffentlichen Daten durchführen. Russland hat diese Daten. Der Bürger sollte nicht uninformiert bleiben.

der russische Generalstab Fehler in seinen Szenaren gemacht und die Lage falsch eingeschätzt hat

Es gab sicher Fehler. Ich glaube aber nicht, dass Russland ernsthaft geglaubt hat, in drei Tagen zu gewinnen. Ein schneller Sieg wurde versucht aber die Ukraine hatte Verteidigungsstellungen, die seit 2014 aufgebaut wurden und die nicht vor Russland verborgen geblieben sein konnten.

Bei all den Experten habe ich bis jetzt aber eben keine echte Analyse gesehen. Es gibt Meinungen, aber keine möglichst vollständige Gegenüberstellung der militärischen Mittel.

Mercosur is still far from being accepted.

The planned deal was announced on 28 June at the 2019 G20 Osaka summit after twenty years of negotiations.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EU–Mercosur_Partnership_Agreement

I have. I called them the good cops. They would never dare to bend the law like the Republicans do. But that doesn’t matter, because it’s only a role they play. They leave the room when it’s time for the dark stuff. A really good person would never allow the bad cop to bend the law.

False dichometry. Democrats did everything to hand over power to the Republicans. It’s a good cop bad cop, one party situation.

People have to organise on their own and make sure that good people are in power.

Same bewilderment as adherents to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_materialism express for the behavior of Democrats.

Only that we have republics and not democracies.

Why is this easy but Mercosur is difficult?

Every country is cleaning their streets off homeless people before a world cup or olympic games. The US is just a bit more generous with their definition of homelessness. Everything will be fine when the tourists arrive.

/s

It could be deeper. Some people argue that the Fifa investigation that made Blatter resign were triggered by the US in retaliation for giving Russia the world cup before the US.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_FIFA_World_Cup (not a proof of my statement)

Worse than spying - manipulating politics and social cohesion.

Which could also be manipulation. Young TikTok watchers are only a fraction of the voters. The change in outcome could mainly be driven by excluding the right-wing candidate from the second election.

It’s their country. The power that comes from owning a military doesn’t exist for billionaires who flee to Russia.

I think that’s a comforting assumption. They are not unfathomable intelligent but they are more intelligent than most people. If they were average, society could reign them in easily.

I believe that there is a stranglehold in information warfare. But without any supporting reasoning I don’t understand why the motivation for that warfare should come from Neo-Confederates. I would rather believe that that explanation is a distraction and part of the warfare.

He believes the Armageddon will be ushered in by an antichrist-type figure who cultivates a fear of existential threats such as climate change, AI and nuclear war to amass inordinate power. The idea is this figure will convince people to do everything they can to avoid something like a third world war, including accepting a one-world order charged with protecting everyone from the apocalypse that implements a complete restriction of technological progress. In his mind, this is already happening.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/oct/10/peter-thiel-lectures-antichrist

“If you really want to go it alone, forget that you can ever get there with 5 per cent [defence spending]. It will be 10 per cent,” Rutte said on Monday. “You have to build up your own nuclear capability. That costs billions and billions of euros.”

France has built 290 warheads with their usual budget. Nuclear weapons are not the problem.

The problem are the anti ICBM satellite weapons. That space race killed the USSR. There is also the need to create the chips for autonomous drones.

China has more than twice the manpower of the EU. If the US and the EU do not cooperate then China will crush the West economically like the West has crushed the USSR.

The US knows this and believes that the EU has no other choice but to cooperate.

Europe should use the American desire for being the hegemon as a lever to receive better conditions. America wants to be number one much more than the EU wants to be number two.

Ist natürlich ganz anders als wenn Trump Migranten nach El Salvador fliegen lässt.