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  • As much as people say the PC party is an Alberta-Manitoba party, it should be noted that the PCs got more seats in Ontario in the last federal election than in Alberta and Manitoba combined. The entrenched PC vote in Ontario is almost exclusively rural, and the voters are not just capital ‘C’ Conservative, then are lower-case ‘c’ conservative. They do not like change, especially any change in the status quo. The issues they deal with, are not the same issues that urban voters are concerned with, and the problems urban areas are facing demand transformative change.

    But a bit of math: the stable Conservative base is usually quoted as ‘30%’ or thereabouts. A 10% shift in this base only looks like a 3% shift overall. So stating the Conservative base is entrenched, ignores the realism that it takes a massive shift in the ‘entrenched’ Conservative base to make the overall numbers change significantly. The Conservatives only come to power when it is the Liberal and more importantly the NDP base that shifts.



  • There is the real possibility that Carney, in his Davos speech, was giving a veiled warning to the world, when he talked about the New World Order and the deterioration of rules-based governance, to prepare for a civil war in America. The Federal American administration is not just applying might-is-right on the world, it is also applying the aphorism of Thucydides directly on the American population. America is no longer a country that follows the Rule of Law even within its own governance.

    The future, I posit, will depend on the reaction of the Democratic States of California and New York. If Minnesota collapses, it is a sure thing that the federal administration will go after these two states next.

    The best reaction for Canada would be to stand back and watch, and be prepared to pick up the pieces.

    I am absolutely certain that Canada is working furiously behind the scenes with the governors of Democratic States, and probably some Republican Sates, in regards to tariffs and trade. It is not a stretch to believe that planning for certain States to go their own way is on the table.

    https://lemmy.ca/post/59267502



  • Absolutely no one except a handful of ‘wild speculators’ saw the dramatic and sudden collapse of the USSR and the reintegration of the two Germanys. Yet it happened.

    If you have researched the Thucydides trap, you will understand that yes, the destruction of the hegemony of the Republic of the United (autonomous) States of America is completely predicted by it. Athens, in the end, was destroyed as an entity. The problem America is now facing, is that it has so alienated most of its friends and allies, there would be few Nations that would not be eager to negotiate with individual States.

    If you read Carney’s speech, read between the lines, and what he does NOT say, he is really telling the middle countries to prepare for the collapse of the Former World Order, which in fact is the United States, and to position themselves to be ready to pick up the pieces. ‘Take the sign out of the window that perpetuates the illusion of America the Great.’

    Frankly, I am not totally sure that he was not, in fact, addressing some of his comments to certain State Governors, about the futility of believing in the American Constitution for ‘Rules Based Order.’ That, indeed, Americans themselves can no longer depend on the Rule of Law in their own country.


  • California has the fifth largest GDP of any NATION in the world. It can well stand on its own as a country. It is a very real possibility that, if the Federal trade policies impact their GDP significantly enough, they will (as an Autonomous State within the Republic) set their own trade policies and tariffs. Texas is in a similar position, and so is New York. If Trump wants to buy Greenland, he will have a hard time convincing these States that it is a productive use of their money. These States, along with Florida, provide 37% of the American GDP. It is only a matter of time before the individual States within the Republic decide they are better off on their own and it’s time to leave. The American Civil War never really did end. The individual States still want to retain their autonomy, and the Federal administration is really, really pushing the limits. These states will suffer only so much hurt before they act.




  • Carney;s 'New World Order" clarified,

    At the turn of this century, most statistical pie charts regarding nations were pretty much America 80%/RestOfWorld 20%, GDP, industrial production, wealth, control of resources, automobile production, PhD grads, best Universities, energy, military; etc, etc, etc.

    Today, the pie charts are reversed. America 20%/RestOfWorld 80%.

    In three decades, America went from more relevant than all other countries combined to struggling to be just the top country.

    In other words, America is no longer as relevant as it was, and indeed there are lots of other countries that are just as relevant if not more so. Americans still have not got the memo, and Trump is simply trying to maintain the illusion. Americans just haven’t gotten it through their heads that they are no longer top dog, and it happened in just over two decades. Americans were blindsided by the rest of the world.

    Carney’s message to Trump was to-the-point - America, you are a has-been country, and we Canadians intend to look to the future, and turn our attention to the countries that now matter. that will be relevant five, ten years from now.

    Trump, of course, just can not swallow this pill. It is too bitter, So he is in la-la land,

    The Americans will have enough trouble keeping their own country together, and the more Trump blathers, the quicker that States like California (somewhere around fifth largest country by GDP, higher than France) are better off on their own, then under an authoritarian dictator that wants to spend their wealth on buying Greenland - a place that has zero benefit to California - who is just dragging the Californian economy into the ground. Texas and New York are in the same position. When it finally hits them that they are far better off on their own than under the whims of an irrelevant Federal governance that has lost its way in the world, it will be the end of the Republic of the United (autonomous) States of America.

    I fully expect that very soon, California will start signing their own trade deals and setting their own tariffs with the rest of the world. I am pretty certain that Californians know full well where their future lies. Then, Canada will be negotiating separate trade deals with individual States. It will be sudden, just like the dissolution of the USSR that dissolved essentially overnight.





  • I am referring to the entire dot com bubble collapse, not just the actual market plummet. Zuckerberg came in at the tail end of the dot.com bubble collapse, when investors were very shy and pulling out of their investments. Amazon survived through the entire affair,but took a big hit. The shock waves were still rippling through the market in 2004, but he was still pulling in millions in investment money even though there was zero profit. The burn rate was horrendous. Why was he pulling in investment money at a time when investors had lost fortunes? Because he had a sound business plan that involved financializing the user base through advertising. While other startups floundered, he knew the dot.com era, read it perfectly. Out of the ashes…


  • Such silliness throughout this article.

    Might just as well run around yelling “The sky is falling!!! Head for the caves!!!”

    Of course, the AI bubble is going to collapse, just like the ‘dot com’ bubble burst. With all the hype. misdirection, and false hope it generated, it is inevitable.

    That does not mean that ALL the investments are going bust.

    Facebook, Google, and many others were all part of the ‘dot.com’ bubble, and they certainly did not go down in flames.

    Just like the dot.com boom, those who truly understand AI the way Zuckerberg understood the dot.com era, there are still fortunes to be made. Those who just think they understand, will be devastated. There is still a LOT of expansion room left in AI, the trick is sorting it out from all of the chaff that IS going to go ‘bust’. The winners are going to win very, very big. The losers are going to lose very, very big.

    It’s all about knowing how to financialize AI.

    An AI that just draws really cute, realistic caricatures will not make money because ANY AI can do it just as well. No advantage. It’s just routine ho-hum penny stock stuff. An AI that can foretell market fluctuations with amazing accuracy, now THAT is worth investing in. It is the patents that are valuable, not the concept of AI itself.

    CHATbot failed miserably. It just gave you answers, essentially with no remuneration component. Properly financialized AI will give you answers to better buying ‘decisions’ - for a percentage, of course.







  • Daryl@lemmy.catoCanada@lemmy.ca*Permanently Deleted*
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    3 months ago

    Let’s set the record straight about Carney.

    Carney is FISICALLY conservative, he is not SOCIALLY Conservative.

    There is a very big difference.

    He is NOT a ‘Conservative in Liberal clothing’, he is a fiscally conservative Liberal.

    Wait - that is what the most successful Progressive Conservative leaders were. Haven’t seen one of them since the Reform party shenanigans.