• 3 Posts
  • 44 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: March 25th, 2025

help-circle




  • I like you critical thinking going on. To me it is simply the number of people, pure and simple. If there was 10 people on the planet it would be a lot harder for any long term consequences to show up. Unfortunately all the modern systems support an ever expanding population base (for stupid reasons imho). We need a system that doesn’t have this feature. Despite capitalism’s benefits, it’s tied to exhaustion. Problem I see, how could the breeding ever be overcome within the system? I’ve got nothing. I’m sure natural processes will take the system off line if it doesn’t line up with some fundamentals.


  • Great points. I can’t see number 1 bring over the boomers anytime soon. I concur with point number two. But I will be long in the tooth by the time this comes to fruition. Moving to a country that has sensible housing policies side steps the whole issue for me. I understand this isn’t an option for everyone, and feel for them being trapped somewhat.



  • Some salient input there, thanks. I read the white paper and thought it needs to be more widely known and talked about. I don’t have any great ideas for how the medicine should be taken now. I think it should have been addressed a long time ago. Cats out of the bag now. Ive decided it’s not my monkey, not my circus. I run a (R&D) business and my solution is to simply move to a country like Japan and side step a 30+ year death pledge.

    It is interesting to see how different countries use housing to prop up their economies. It seems to be short term gain, long term pain policy or what I’ve heard to as car crash economics.

    Other nations seem to be putting their efforts into advancing technology. I think that gives a short term pain but real long term gain.


  • “Increasing government debt is a transfer from future generations to current ones, exacerbating the intergenerational imbalance documented in this paper.”

    To me it mirrors the South Park episode where previous generations made a deal with Man bear pig (climate change) to help themselves, at the peril of future generations.




  • I see it as a supply and demand issue, too.

    Supply of humans is so high that it has eroded bargaining power. Add in immigration and it is known that this has suppressed wage growth. Hence why I think in the 30s and beyond will be wild. The supply of humans will be reversed as global fertility trends continue. The WHO forecasted stat’s on world population from 2050-2100, and beyond, shows a decrease. If this plays out houses are going to be cheap as chips through this period, and all the ‘real estate empires’ will lose their shirt.