CarmineCatboy2 [he/him]

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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: February 8th, 2024

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  • Puerto Rico might be peripheric in the economic grand scheme but that has value too. You ask what is the long term plan for a quasi-country with a brain drain problem, but when it comes to outskirt provinces sometimes the plan is to be brain drained forever. I don’t know if Puerto Rico has natural resources or how much of a real estate market it can develop, but at the end of the day we are talking about the US economy here and what matters is how much of that can be used as collateral to generate debt.

    That said, you yourself recognize that economic goals don’t necessarily matter. Puerto Rico is territory and states do not let go of those. It’s an island that is close to Cuba (I mean, so is Florida), and its at the mouth and heart of the Caribbean. It’s close by to Venezuela and Suriname. Even if the US didn’t need a base there, at the end of the day Puerto Rico is a part of the world that doesn’t even need to open an US base in order to rule it from afar.

    Since you might be from the island, could you explain the whole kerfuffle surrounding statehood? From what I understand is might be less straightforward than an outsider like me thinks.













  • There’s an ongoing crossfire of propaganda trying to pin down why this decision was made. Since Lula is to the left of i-am-adolf-hitler the default position on the right is to assume that he is part of a communist conspiracy to create the Soviet Bolivarian Republics. So now the right wing - and you can see it in responses to that tweet - are making the argument that EVEN LULA is ‘on the right side of history’ by questioning Maduro’s election and so on.

    The truth of the matter is much simpler. Brazil and Venezuela never estabilished an all weather relationship, not during Chaves’ government, and not now.

    Brazil on the one hand doesn’t want to anger the US too much, and feels as though unlike India it has less room for maneuver to anger the americans. That is more or less self evidently true since the last time we so much dared to invest in the US in order to become more energy self sufficient we got hit by lawfare and a political coup. We aren’t talking about a fully sovereign nation here, but one that is dependent on the US with an aspiring pro US political class that is only being held back by the iron law of trade relations.

    On the other hand the Brazilian government does have an ambivalent relationship with Venezuela by default. It’s easy to compromise and deal with countries like Bolivia, Uruguay and Paraguay because they are more or less in the brazilian sphere of economic influence. Venezuela is both politically and geographically far from Brazil’s stated goal of leading South America. Venezuela is a caribbean facing country that is geared to resist US influence. Therefore it is also geared to resist Brazil’s influence as well. It’s kinda like the relationship between North Korea and China. NK is much closer to a ‘farther away’ ally like Russia than it is with China, because by default if NK becomes closer to China then China’s heft will chip away at its self sufficiency. Far from the propaganda that North Korea and China are have a vassal-master relationship, they aren’t allies or even that close.

    So to say all that is to say that, yeah, the sticking point is the elections. But not in the sense that Brazil questions them behind closed doors - which is what liberal media insists inside of Brazil itself. No, it’s because Brazil had a plan to deescalate the situation and Venezuela didn’t follow it to a tee. Plus, with Biden in the White House the brazilians have enough reason to fool themselves and feel like the US isn’t hostile, so there’s no reason to invite further aggression. Finally we are some days away from the second turn of municipal elections and the liberals in Brasília likely don’t want to give fuel to the right wing fire.